BET: Under For Raiders-Titans In Week 3

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We are on the UNDER 45.5 (-110) in the Las Vegas Raiders (0-2) visit to Nissan Stadium in Week 4 to take on the Tennessee Titans (0-2) for the following reasons:

  • Both have strong defensive lines and weak offensive lines.
  • A majority of the betting public is on the Over.
  • The situational trends point to an Under.

Betting Deets (DraftKings)

  • Moneyline: Raiders (-125), Titans (+105)
  • Against the spread: Raider -2 (-110), Titans +2 (-110)
  • Total (O/U) — 45.5 — O: -110, UNDER: -110

Football Stuff

Tennessee announced earlier this week that Pro Bowl LT Taylor Lewan would be sidelined for the season with a knee injury. Titans already had the worst pass-blocking matchup of Week 3 vs. Vegas’s defense, per Pro Football Focus (PFF).

Also, first-year DE Chandler Jones wreaked havoc on Tennessee’s offensive line while playing for the Arizona Cardinals in Week 1 last season.

Former Cardinals DE Chandler Jones sacks Titans QB Ryan Tannehill. (Silas Walker/Getty Images)

Jones sacked Titans QB Ryan Tannehill five times in Arizona’s 38-13 beatdown of the Titans. He made Lewan look like a child out there and Lewan is one of the better offensive tackles in the NFL.

The Raiders struggle with run blocking and have the fourth-worst run-blocking matchup of Week 3 vs. Tennessee’s defensive line, per PFF.

There could be a lot of wasted possessions behind these bad offensive lines. Both teams rank in the top-10 of defensive 3rd-down conversion rate.

The Titans will probably stick to what they know best in this back-against-the-wall game. 0-3 in the NFL is a death sentence so expect Tennessee to give a lot of carries to RB Derrick Henry.

Tennessee plays the second-slowest pace in the NFL (according to Football Outsiders) because it likes to establish the run.

The Raiders are 2-7 O/U with a -5.9 O/U margin when their total is at or lower than the key number of 47 since the beginning of 2020. Vegas is 0-4 O/U in the last four road games. The Titans 5-9 O/U with a -3.0 O/U margin over that span in those situations and 0-6 O/U in the last six home games.

Finally, these trends are in the opposite direction of the betting public. According to, roughly three-fourths of the action is on the Over. But, the total has fallen from a 47-point opener. It seems like the sportsbooks are following the trends rather than the noise as well.

Go to DraftKings Sportsbook and BET UNDER 45.5 (-110) in the RAIDERS-TITANS game.

Odds from DraftKings Sportsbook as of Sunday, Sept. 25 at 11:10 a.m. ET

Listen to the ‘OutKick Bets with Geoff Clark’ podcast HERE.

Written by Geoff Clark

Geoff Clark serves as OutKick’s sports betting guru. As a writer and host of OutKick Bets with Geoff Clark, he dives deep into the sports betting landscape and welcomes an array of sports betting personalities on his show to handicap America’s biggest sporting events.

Previously, Clark was a writer/podcaster for USA TODAY's Sportsbook Wire website, handicapping all the major sports tentpoles with a major focus on the NFL, NBA and MLB.

Clark graduated from St. John University.

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