Twins, Gray Will Cruise Past White Sox in Chicago Friday

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Both the Minnesota Twins (67-62) and Chicago White Sox (65-66) are in the mix to win the AL Central entering their 3-game series in Chicago. The Twins are just 1 game behind the Cleveland Guardians while the White Sox are 4 games back.

Minnesota recently had its 5-game streak snapped in a 6-5 loss to the Boston Red Sox Wednesday. Chicago is just 3-7 in the last 10 games but won back-to-back vs. the Kansas City Royals entering Friday.

Head over to DraftKings Sportsbook and BET the MINNESOTA TWINS (-135) to win the series opener with the Chicago White Sox (+115). The Twins have edges in the starting and hitting matchups and this is a better spot for Minnesota.

Sonny Gray Is Having A Bounce-Back Season

Minnesota Twins starter Sonny Gray pitches against the Kansas City Royals at Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota. (Brace Hemmelgarn/Getty Images)

Twins starting RHP Sonny Gray (7-4, 3.04 ERA) has been the ace of their staff. He was mediocre in 2020-21 (12-12, 4.05 ERA) while pitching for the Cincinnati Reds after making the NL All-Star team in his 1st season in Cincy.

Gray has been locked in for Minnesota’s AL Central race. Since the All-Star break, Gray is 3-1 with a 1.91 ERA. He’s allowed 3 or fewer earned runs (ER) in each outing.

We might be getting a good price on Gray because he gave up 6 ER vs. the White Sox earlier this season. However, Chicago’s lineup is terrible against right-handed pitching.

For instance, the White Sox are 20th in wRC+ (95), 22nd in wOBA (.302), 29th in ISO (.120) and 25th in hard-hit rate (28.8%), per FanGraphs. While the Twins have a 113 wRC+ (ranked 4th), .323 wOBA (7th), .166 ISO (7th) and a 33.9% hard-hit rate (4th).

Also, White Sox RHP Davis Martin (2-4, 4.62 ERA) is starting only because RHP Michael Kopech is on the IL. Martin grades in the 15th percentile or worse in expected ERA over wOBA, K% and exit velocity, according to Statcast.

However, Minnesota’s moneyline is the play instead of the First 5-Inning line since Chicago’s bullpen is subpar. Maybe the Twins need all 9 innings to beat the White Sox.

Minnesota Twins SS Carlos Correa bats in the 8th inning against the Houston Astros at Minute Maid Park. (Tim Warner/Getty Images)

A ‘Good Spot’ For The Twins

Minnesota is 4-1 this season as road favorites with Gray on the mound. The Twins have a plus-38.5% return on investment (ROI) in those contests and an 8.80-2.40 average final score. Also, Minnesota is 3-1 when playing with a rest advantage. (The Twins had an off-day Thursday).

On the other hand, Chicago is 6-10 as home underdogs this season. The White Sox have a minus-19.5% ROI and are losing 6.88-4.38 on average in those contests. Finally, Chicago is 2-4 with a rest disadvantage and played on Thursday.

BET the MINNESOTA TWINS (-135) at DraftKings Sportsbook to handle business Friday vs. the Chicago White Sox (+115).

  • A $135 bet on the Twins (-135) nets a $100 profit if Minnesota wins outright.

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Written by Geoff Clark

Geoff Clark serves as OutKick’s sports betting guru. As a writer and host of OutKick Bets with Geoff Clark, he dives deep into the sports betting landscape and welcomes an array of sports betting personalities on his show to handicap America’s biggest sporting events.

Previously, Clark was a writer/podcaster for USA TODAY's Sportsbook Wire website, handicapping all the major sports tentpoles with a major focus on the NFL, NBA and MLB.

Clark graduated from St. John University.

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