Best Player Props for Each NFL Divisional Game This Weekend

Videos by OutKick

Player props are live in the FanDuel Sportsbook for each of the NFL Divisional games this weekend. Now is an excellent time for Part Two of the betting guide released earlier this week, this time focusing on individual player production. (If you want to read about the three bets we’re making against the spread this weekend, click here.).

As mentioned before, it’s great to look for outliers when trying to exploit a book’s line. The in-depth research doesn’t just indicate a potential edge on a spread or total but also for expected player production. It’s the winning formula to nail your prop bets. 

Prop bets have become increasingly popular amongst sports bettors over the past few years. The FanDuel Sportsbook offers one of the best player prop options called same game parlays, which combine multiple bets from a single game into one massive parlay (moneylines, spreads and totals can be paired in these bets, too). They are challenging to win, but yield large dividends if predicted correctly. The guide below attempts to assist your player props and same game parlays this weekend.

If you’re a new sports bettor, the FanDuel Sportsbook offers an incredible betting opportunity for new users only. Bet $5 on any team in the NFL Divisional Round to win, and if they succeed, you win $125. It’s an unbelievable 25-to-1 odds boost and the perfect way to kick-start your betting career. Take advantage of this offer by clicking this link.

Iowa Residents: As of January 1, 2021, new FanDuel Sportsbook users no longer need to visit a casino or sportsbook. Click here to register, deposit, and bet from the comfort of your home or wherever you have internet access.

As a bonus, I’ve picked what I feel are the best First Touchdown Scorer bets for each game. Predicting the first touchdown scorer is extremely difficult. However, someone completely nailed the Cleveland D/ST scoring first last Sunday night vs. Pittsburgh and won big. We’re looking to hit a few of those this week.

Saturday, January 16, 2021

Los Angeles Rams @ Green Bay Packers (-6.5)

(Kickoff: 4:35 p.m. ET on FOX)

First Touchdown Scorer: Robert Tonyan (+850)

In a season where MVP-candidate Aaron Rodgers has done anything he wants on the field, Robert Tonyan has stepped up as one of Rodgers’ most reliable targets. Tonyan has scored a touchdown in six of the Packers’ last seven games, meaning there’s plenty of opportunities here. I’m also taking him as an Anytime Touchdown scorer, but the odds of him scoring the first TD are too sweet to pass up.

Anytime TD: Robert Tonyan (+135) – See the above analysis. I love this prop.

Anytime TD: Cam Akers (+110) – The Packers have been stingy against the run the past few weeks, but Akers is too big of a piece in the Rams offense not to make this prop. The game is expected to be low-scoring, so at plus money, give me the Rams’ breakout running back as the best chance to score.

Baltimore Ravens @ Buffalo Bills (-2)

(Kickoff: 8:15 p.m. ET on NBC)

First Touchdown Scorer: Mark Andrews (+1600)

Andrews is due for a touchdown on Saturday night. The Bills allowed 993 yards and eight touchdowns to tight ends this season, making Andrews an excellent play for the first touchdown scorer.

Anytime TD: Mark Andrews (+250) – See analysis above. It’s by far the best value prop on the board for this game. Andrews has a tremendous opportunity against a defense tight ends enjoy facing.

Anytime TD: J.K. Dobbins (+110) – Dobbins has scored a touchdown in seven straight games, comfortably entrenching himself as Baltimore’s workhorse. Since Dobbins is playing against a Buffalo rush defense that has allowed the sixth-most rushing touchdowns per game, this has great value with plus money. Consider sprinkling some cash on him getting the first touchdown, too.

Anytime TD: Marquise Brown (+200) – Brown has become one of Lamar Jackson’s favorite weapons down the stretch, going for over 100 yards last week and scoring six touchdowns in his previous seven games.

Marquise Brown longest reception over 21.5 (-118) – Can you tell I love the Ravens this week? He went over this total eight times this season, including last week against the Titans. If the Ravens find themselves needing to match points, “Hollywood” will be there to break through the Bills’ secondary for significant gains.

Sunday, January 17, 2021

Cleveland Browns @ Kansas City Chiefs (-10)

(Kickoff: 3:05 p.m. ET on CBS)

First Touchdown Scorer: Travis Kelce (+600)

Kelce is going up against a defense that allows tight ends to feast. Cleveland has allowed 907 yards and ten touchdowns to tight ends this season, making it a genuine soft spot for Kansas City to attack. The best tight end in football scored a touchdown in four straight games to end the season.

Anytime TD: Travis Kelce (-150) – The odds aren’t as great as above, but good enough for me to take!

Anytime TD: Nick Chubb (-115) – This is a must-take line. He may not have scored in last weekend’s rout of the Steelers, but Chubb finished the regular season scoring in six straight. He should be able to pierce through the Chiefs’ banged-up linebacker corps.

Nick Chubb over 70.5 rush yards (-112) – The Chiefs defense allows 122.1 yards per game. Between Chubb and Hunt, this should be an attainable number for Cleveland’s lead rusher.

Travis Kelce over 7.5 receptions (-108) – Kelce has seen double-digit targets in seven of his last eight games. He also caught eight or more passes each game during that span. A fixture in the Chiefs’ offense and going up against a soft defense, this should be a winning prop.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ New Orleans Saints (-3)

(Kickoff: 6:40 p.m. ET on FOX)

First Touchdown Scorer: Alvin Kamara (+500)

It’s the third time these teams will meet this season, so we have a solid indication of how each will game plan their opponent. The Bucs have done a decent job containing Kamara, but he still got into the end zone in both meetings. In more recent memory, Kamara scored six touchdowns in one game back in Week 16, indicating he’ll play one of the largest roles for the Saints’ offense down the stretch.

Anytime TD: Antonio Brown (+210) – Brown has unsurprisingly become one of Brady’s favorite weapons down the stretch, scoring in each of the Bucs’ last four games.

Anytime TD: Taysom Hill (+180) – Hill’s stat line vs. Tampa Bay this season: 3-for-3 passing for 86 yards, ten rushes for 67 yards, two catches for 35 yards and two touchdowns. He’ll play a significant role this weekend.

Tom Brady under 296.5 passing yards (-112) – Brady has been obliterating defenses the past few weeks, throwing for over 300 yards in four straight games, including against the formidable Washington defense. But schematically, the Bucs haven’t matched up well against the Saints. New Orleans didn’t allow Brady to get close to this number in either game. I’ll take the under again.

Tom Brady interception YES (-130) – Sometimes a defense has your number. Sure, things can change this weekend, and the Bucs could completely rip apart all of my predictions. But since Brady has already thrown six interceptions against this New Orleans defense once, you have to take the odds of it repeating.

Betting props is an entertaining way to take your fan experience to the next level. Hopefully, some of these tips help you win BIG this weekend. As a reminder, for picks against the spread and teasers, take a look at the three bets I’m making this weekend.

See any other player props you love? Drop them in the comment box below. Let’s work together and bring home some cold hard cash this weekend!

New users, don’t forget to take advantage of the excellent 25-to-1 odds boost the FanDuel Sportsbook offers. Bet $5 on one team to win outright, win $125! Lock in the promo by clicking this link.

For more betting tips, follow @ErickValenciano on Twitter. Make sure you’re following our sports betting account, too: @OutKickBets.

Written by OutKick Bets

Leave a Reply