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Brooks Koepka Is PGA Championship Chalk, But There May Be Better Bets

The PGA Championship starts tomorrow at Harding Park Golf Club in San Francisco, and I honestly couldn’t be more excited.

There are more than enough storylines to follow from Tiger attempting to win a 16th major, Brooks attempting to win a third straight PGA Championship, and Bryson attempting to, well, just win a major.

When it comes to betting golf, it’s hard not to go all chalk because that’s just the best bet, so here are my top five to watch this week.

Brooks Koepka +1000

It’s the PGA Championship and Brooks has won the last two. He should be the favorite to win. He also hasn’t finished outside of the top five in a major since the 2018 Open Championship, but he won the U.S. Open prior to that. Koepka doesn’t care much about regular PGA Tour events, that’s not a surprise to anyone who watches golf regularly, but he did just finish runner-up to Justin Thomas in the WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational. That could be a sign that he has timed everything perfectly entering this PGA Championship.

Jon Rahm +1400

Rahm moved up to number one in the world, which, honestly, doesn’t mean much after winning the Memorial Tournament but has since lost that position to Justin Thomas. It seems like Rahm is always right in the thick of things entering the weekend, but he has yet to close out a major win. He has finished in the top 10 in four of his last eight major appearances with one of those coming as a T4 at the 2018 PGA Championship.

Viktor Hovland +4500

You may be thinking that Hovland is a stretch to be in my top five in a major considering he is in his second year on Tour, however, I think he’s just that good. Hovland’s lone win came earlier this season in February at the Puerto Rico Open. His highest finish since was in July when he finished third in the Workday Charity Open. He’s one of those young guys who always looks like he’s the next star.

Tony Finau +5000

Could Tony Finau just win a major and get it over with already? In his last eight major championships, Finau has finished in the top five three times and the top 10 a total of five. His highest finish came last season at The Open where he finished third. This season Finau has 5 top 10 finishes that include a third and second-place finish. If you want to take a little bit more of a longshot, Finau is a good bet.

Webb Simpson +2800

After winning the 2012 U.S. Open, Simpson dropped all the way to 88th in the world rankings in 2017. He made some changes, found his groove, and won the Players Championship in 2018. He has since won two more times in 2020, once prior to the restart and once after. The biggest thing Simpson has going for him is that he is sixth in strokes gained total. He’s first in birdie average and has climbed all the way back to fourth in the world rankings.

Bonus, but not really much of a bonus:

Tiger Woods +3700

You can NOT ignore Tiger when it comes to a major championship. In 2018, Tiger turned it on and finished T6 in The Open and then second behind Brooks in the PGA Championship. He then won the 2019 Masters. While Woods has only played once since February and took last week off, it was a calculated move and could pay off big. He’s rested. He’s ready. He’s definitely confident he can win.

Keep an eye on Justin Thomas and never count out Rory McIlroy, who has won on this course before. I’m also not that confident in Bryson to keep his composure down the stretch, but he could be in the mix late on Saturday.

Here’s the full list of odds via FanDuel

Written by Michael Shamburger

Michael has 11+ years covering golf and college football. He's walked alongside Tiger, bleeds Purple and Gold, and is thankful for Joe Burrow! DBAP

One Comment

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  1. Hey Michael,
    Good stuff…I can hear the excitement in your write up!! And you’re absolutely right about the adreniline rush of Majors golf. Famous muni…water’s not in play, so they say lol. Don’t tell Phil.
    Cheers!

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