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Torrey Pines is back — well, minus Tiger Woods — but the PGA is in full swing at the famous Torrey Pines for the Farmers Insurance Open this week. With a field that is deeper than ever at one of California’s signature courses, Jon Rahm, Rory McIlroy, Brooks Koepka, Matthew Wolff and Tony Finau (among others) will get their first look in a “warmup” for the 2021 US Open, which will be held there in June.
Torrey Pines features two courses, and each player plays one round on each course for the opening two rounds. At 7700 yards, the South Course is the longest course on the PGA Tour. It’s a tough track that values birdies as they are sparse, and with inclement weather expected, this year could play even tougher than the normal coastal course. The North Course, on the other hand, should be easier as it averages nearly three fewer strokes per scoring average, so look for players to really gain ground there this week.
Torrey Pines is tournament that favors long ball hitters, so FanDuel Sportsbook currently has Jon Rahm as a +700 favorite, which is understandable as he won here in 2017 and also has three top 5 finishes in just four starts. Behind Rahm is Rory McIlroy @ +750. McIlroy is coming off a strong 3rd place showing last week in Abu Dhabi, and with back-to-back top 5 finishes at Torrey Pines, he will for sure be a heavy public pick to take this down (though I wouldn’t bet him, due to heavy travel this week!). Behind McIlroy is local Californian Xander Schauffele @ +1300, followed by the consistently choking Tony Finau at +2100 (seriously, don’t waste your money on him.) None of these golfers mentioned present any value for me to seriously consider. Usually, I would back Rahm here, but coming off a minor injury and in the middle of a club switch, I will pass on him with such low odds. Instead, I will ride with a few longer shots who offer some better value along with a couple of other plays: