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I see Steve Kornacki & Sunday Night Football stole my playoff probability schtick

I’ve been doing NFL playoff probability in Morning Screencaps for the last 6-7 years, going about my business, day in and day out, providing readers with interesting photos and the probability that their teams will make the playoffs, thanks to Here we are in 2020, and NBC trots out MSNBC’s Steve Kornacki to do the same thing and the guy is hailed as some hero to the sports community. I’m not going to dwell on the blue checkmarks hailing Steve as some sort of genius. That’s just blue checkmarks being blue checkmarks.

Now, let’s get to the probabilities as we head into a Monday NFL doubleheader. The Seahawks, Rams, Packers, Chiefs, Saints and Steelers are playing bonus football in January. The Bills are at 91% probability of getting in, so you can go ahead and throw them in as a guarantee, too. The Browns are all the way up to 94% with the Ravens coming up in Cleveland a week from tonight. God, I wish COVID wasn’t a thing and that stadium was filled for that game. You’re talking an all-timer type crowd from Browns fans.

If you’re a Lions fan, there’s still a mathematical possibility of making the playoffs. You’re at 6%. The Eagles are at 8% and begging to be eliminated. And the 3-8 Cowboys are at 11%, thanks to the horrible NFC East.

The Steelers are sitting at a 26% probability of winning the Super Bowl.

• I went to school Sunday in the form of installing a lockset to a slab door. The only issue with the process was getting the hole saw through the MDF solid core door. That wasn’t exactly easy, but it was easier than lifting the door and getting it on the hinges. I felt like Nate Robinson getting knocked out by Jake Paul after the process.

• My dad has to be more careful dropping f-bombs when he calls after Andy Reid fails to throw a challenge flag. The iPad was on speakerphone. Typically he calls to let loose during a Bengals game, but we don’t even bother watching the Bungwads after the loss of Joe Burrow.

• I’m still jacked up from the BYU-Coastal Carolina game. That was exactly what the college football season needed to feel like a college season. I needed that hysteria on a Saturday night.

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Written by Joe Kinsey

I'm an Ohio guy, born in Dayton, who roots for Ohio State and can handle you guys destroying the Buckeyes, Urban Meyer and everything associated with Columbus.


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  1. That Steve Kornacki segment was one of the most annoying things I’ve ever witnessed. He literally just read the probabilities, albeit with the excitement of an eight year-old telling you how he just beat the level boss in a video game for the first time after 17 attempts.

    And a message to Alex Bregman’s new wife: Cheaters gonna cheat. On the bright side, looks like she’s not wasting any time spending his money. Holy Wedding Arch, Batman!

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